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Romania Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Industry Report Q2 2015

 BMI View: We expect Romania’s pharmaceutical market in 2015 to be initially driven by a consumer-led recovery as falling fuel and food prices, rising wages and declining unemployment drive pharmaceutical consumption, but local regulatory factors such as revenue taxes will continue to present obstacles to growth. Over the longer term, we expect the underfunding of the healthcare system to be addressed and
given the country’s ageing population, a broad based boost in expenditure from both public payers and consumers will drive continued growth in the pharmaceutical market.

Headline Expenditure Projections for Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Industry

Pharmaceuticals: RON14.17bn (USD4.27bn) in 2014 to RON14.63bn (USD4.10bn) in 2015; +3.2% in local currency terms and -3.9% in US dollar terms.
Healthcare: RON32.97bn (USD9.93bn) in 2014 to RON35.78bn (USD10.03bn) in 2015; +8.5% in local currency terms and 1.0% in US dollar terms.

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Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 12
Economic 13
Industry Forecast 14
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 14
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Romania 2011-2019) 15
Healthcare Market Forecast 16
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Romania 2011-2019) 18
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Romania 2011-2019) 18
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Romania 2011-2019) 18
Prescription Drug Market Forecast 19
Table: Prescription Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Romania 2011-2019) 20
Patented Drug Market Forecast 21
Table: Patented Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Romania 2011-2019) 22
Generic Medicine Market Forecast 23
Table: Generic Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Romania 2011-2019) 24
OTC Medicine Market Forecast 25
Table: Over-The-Counter (OTC) Medicine Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Romania 2011-2019) 26
Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast 27
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (Romania 2011-2019) 28
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts local currency (Romania 2011-2019) 28
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario 29
Macroeconomic Forecasts 31
Economic Analysis 31

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Table: Economic Activity (Romania 2009-2018) 36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 37
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 37
Romania Risk/Reward Index 43
Rewards 43
Risks 43
Market Overview 46
Industry Trends And Developments 48
Epidemiology 48
Healthcare System 50
Private Healthcare Provision 51
Healthcare Reform 52
Table: Healthcare Resources 53
Table: Healthcare Activity 53
Table: Healthcare Personnel 54
Research And Development (R&D) 54
Clinical Trials 55
Regulatory Development 57
Pharmaceutical Advertising 57
Intellectual Property Regime 58
Corruption 59
Pricing Regime 60
Reimbursement Regime 61
Competitive Landscape 66
Pharmaceutical Sector 66
Generic Drugmakers 66
Research-Based Industry 67
Table: Members Of ARPIM, 2013 67
Pharmaceutical Company Developments 68
Pharmaceutical Wholesale 68
Pharmaceutical Retail 69
Company Profile 70
Actavis 70
Antibiotice Iasi 73
GlaxoSmithKline 76
Krka 79
LaborMed Pharma 81
Merck & Co. 83
Novartis 85
Pfizer 87
Roche 89
Sanofi 91
Terapia Ranbaxy 93
Zentiva 96
Demographic Forecast 99
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025) 100
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025) 100
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025) 101
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025) 101
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025) 102
Glossary 104
Methodology 106
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 106
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 106
Notes On Methodology 107
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 108
Index Overview 109
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 109
Indicator Weightings 110

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